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More standalone schools on the brink as deficits grow

Seventy-five trusts 鈥 one with a deficit of almost 拢6 million 鈥 raised concerns about their ability to continue operating in 2023-24
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Soaring inflation, plunging rolls, staff absences and unfunded pay rises have left the future of scores of academy trusts in doubt as they scramble to plug multi-million-pound holes in their budgets.

Seventy-five trusts 鈥 one with a deficit of almost 拢6 million 鈥 raised concerns about their ability to continue operating in 2023-24, a Schools Week investigation found. This is more than double the number the year before.

And over a third of the trusts in financial distress last year have been handed government bailouts or been told by officials that they stand to receive additional financial support stretching into seven figures.

Almost 70 per cent of them were single-academy trusts. Separate findings also show a big rise in the number of council schools subject to a notice of financial concern.

It comes as government officials are working on white paper proposals to set an ambition that all schools are part of a group, multiple sources briefed on the plans said.

鈥楾errible toll鈥

general secretary Pepe Di鈥橧asio said: 鈥淲e recognise that the national finances are tight, but we鈥檙e very worried that schools and colleges are expected to do ever more with ever less, and this has a terrible toll.

鈥淲e really do need a long-term plan for education in which we are clear about what we expect from schools and colleges, and then make sure they have the resources to deliver those expectations.鈥

The Department for Education (DfE) revealed last month that more than one in eight trusts last year had an 鈥渆mphasis of matter鈥 or 鈥渕aterial uncertainty鈥 opinion in their annual accounts (13.4 per cent).

This means auditors flagged concerns about the trust鈥檚 financial sustainability or the reliability of its accounts, effectively raising risks or doubts about its ability to continue operating without additional support. The number had also risen from 9.9 per cent in 2022-23.

Most of these were for trusts closing or transferring. But risks over financial issues were  flagged in 75 sets of trust accounts for 2023-24.

While this only equates to 3.2 per cent of the country鈥檚 trusts, it is more than double the 1.3 per cent that issued financial health warnings the year before.

The DfE said the statements are made when 鈥渁 material uncertainty existed relating to events or conditions that may have cast significant doubt on the trust’s ability to continue as a going concern鈥.

拢5.9m in deficit

Schools Week obtained the names of the 75 鈥 running 264 schools 鈥 through the freedom of information act. Our analysis shows 46 of them were in deficit, with four more than 拢1 million in the red.

The largest deficit was posted by the St Ralph Sherwin Catholic Multi Academy Trust based in Derbyshire (拢5.9 million). Accounts show its 25 academies had 鈥渃ollectively been in financial decline for several years鈥 prior to the MAT鈥檚 launch in 2018. 

But 鈥渞ising utility costs, challenges in recruiting to key posts, general inflation, staffing absences and the funding versus cost to deliver free school meals鈥 strained the 鈥渄elicate balance between income and expenditure鈥.

Micon Metcalfe
Micon Metcalfe

The Confederation of School Trusts鈥 (CST鈥檚) annual survey last month revealed that financial sustainability was CEOs鈥 number one priority this year 鈥 for the second year running. Many are looking at cutting classroom staff and leadership redundancies to balance the books.

The trust did not respond to a request for comment.

But finance expert Micon Metcalfe noted that Catholic MATs more generally may be 鈥渄isproportionately affected鈥 by financial pressures.

This is because 鈥渢hey are wanting to deliver the bishop鈥檚 plan for the area and protect small Catholic schools鈥, which are harder hit by cuts.

iPads and job cuts

The Arthur Terry Learning Partnership (拢3.9 million) and the Sherborne Area Schools鈥 Trust (拢1.9 million) had the next-highest deficits. They ran 23 and 18 schools at the time.

Schools Week previously revealed how Arthur Terry had racked up seven-figure losses after purchasing iPads as part of an initiative to provide 11,000 devices for all pupils and staff.

In a letter sent to parents last week, the trust said it was 鈥渃onsulting with staff regarding voluntary redundancy and early resignation programmes鈥.

But the trust added that the 鈥渕ajority of staff will not be affected by these programmes鈥, and this was 鈥渙ne of several measures being considered to manage resources responsibly鈥.

Sherborne鈥檚 accounts cited pressures including 鈥渢he increasing cost and challenge around alternative provision鈥.

This was 鈥渇urther compounded by high levels of staff absence in the form of the associated costs of backfilling essential frontline teaching roles鈥.

Andi Brown, of academy consultancy firm SAAF Education, has been called in to help more trusts in financial difficulty over the past six months.

This is due to pay rises not being fully funded, 鈥渉igher than expected inflation and a general reduction in pupil numbers, particularly in primary schools鈥, among other things, he said.

鈥淲e鈥檙e now starting to recommend trusts aim for staff costs to be 75 per cent of total income. Three, four years ago it was 80 per cent.鈥

The price of inclusion?

The Beckmead Trust 鈥 which also appeared on the list 鈥 was this week issued with a notice to improve after approaching the government for an emergency bailout amid concerns it would be plunged into a 鈥渃ashflow deficit鈥.

A spokesperson for the MAT, which runs 12 special and alternative provision schools, said it went into the red due to 鈥渟ignificant delays鈥 for cash 鈥渢o build new free schools approved by the DfE, and in receiving funding from local authorities鈥.

Last year, we had to make some very difficult decisions

Broad Horizons Education Trust CEO Owen Jenkins also said its 拢670,000 deficit reflected 鈥渢he complexities of bringing together a very diverse family of schools鈥, including two special schools.

鈥淭he commitment to inclusion is not easy to deliver within the current funding context,鈥 he added. 鈥淟ast year, we had to make some very difficult decisions 鈥 and sadly this meant some redundancies, but this did not come at the cost of inclusion.鈥

Broad Horizons 鈥渋s now outperforming its approved financial recovery plan and moving into an in-year surplus position鈥, he added.

Problems not confined to trusts

CST CEO Leora Cruddas stressed that trusts 鈥渁re not immune from the financial pressures facing all public services鈥, highlighting that 15 per cent of maintained schools also have a budget deficit.

A separate FOI lodged with the DfE showed 159 local authority-run schools across 26 councils were subject to a notice of financial concern in 2023-24, up from 94 the year before.

These are similar to academy improvement notices, also issued when funding rules are breached. Council schools do not publish details of their accounts, so the reasons for deficits are not as transparent as in academy trusts.

Michael Barton, the National Governance Association鈥檚 head of policy, added: 鈥淲hile the summer鈥檚 spending review was relatively positive for schools and may offer some short-term relief, it fell short of delivering the scale of investment needed to fully address the financial pressures facing the system.鈥

Brown warned that even those which 鈥渉ave built up large reserves and can weather this storm a bit better鈥 are 鈥済oing to start burning through鈥 their savings.

鈥 but some weren鈥檛 in deficit

But 28 of the 75 trusts listed in our FOI for flagging concerns were in surplus.

Despite registering a 拢1.4 million surplus, the Bishop Wheeler Catholic Academy Trust forecast a future 鈥渋n-year deficit that could deplete [its] remaining cash reserves鈥.

Among other things, the 16-school trust also pointed to 鈥渟ignificant underfunding through the national funding formula over a 10-year period that has become more acute in the last three years鈥.

Bishop Wheeler said the issue has left its schools 鈥渇unded at 82 per cent of the minimum level necessary to operate as indicated鈥 by the department鈥檚 efficiency benchmarks.

This was 鈥渁cknowledged鈥 by the DfE, which 鈥渋ndicated鈥 it would 鈥渃onsider providing short-term funding 鈥 should it be required鈥.

The Cornelius Vermuyden School made similar projections, despite recording a 拢110,000 surplus. This prompted department officials to advise that it 鈥渘eeds to join a multi-academy trust鈥.

The South East Essex Academy Trust, which is working with the school, said budgets were squeezed, in part, by 鈥渞educed pupil numbers鈥 brought on by 鈥渓ocal demographic changes and the impact of an Ofsted report鈥.

A report by the Kreston group of accountancy firms suggested that 鈥渋f the sector is trying to ensure that it is financially sustainable, then the obvious solution would be for MATs to become large or at least for the smaller MATs to become larger鈥.

Push for groups of schools

Cornelius Vermuyden was one of 52 single-academy trusts (SATs) included in the list. Just nine were responsible for 10 or more schools.

Of the SATs, 30 (58 per cent) were either secondaries or all-throughs. Thirteen (25 per cent) were in the east of England, 10 (19 per cent) in London and nine (17 per cent) were based in the South-west.

Salvatorian College was the SAT with the largest deficit (拢1.4 million). This came after the ESFA 鈥渁pproved a financial facility鈥 of 拢1.4 million in 2019, of which 拢1.3 million had been 鈥渄rawn down鈥 by the end of August 2024.

But trustees believed that 鈥渟ome additional support may be required鈥 and they had 鈥渁 reasonable expectation鈥 this 鈥渨ould be forthcoming鈥.

Groups of schools coming together makes absolute sense

The Kreston report showed small MATs 鈥 those with fewer than 3,000 pupils 鈥 had, on average, surpluses 鈥渙f just 拢1,000 [last year] compared to 拢203,000 in 2022鈥.

Primary and secondary SATs also tended to be in deficit, according to the analysis.

Institute of School Business Leadership chief Stephen Morales believes Labour鈥檚 schools white paper is 鈥渓ikely鈥 to include 鈥渆ncouragement for schools to collaborate and not operate as islands鈥.

鈥淕roups of schools coming together makes absolute sense and it’s probably the most sustainable way for our system to prevail given the fiscal backdrop.鈥

Definition of ‘group’ unknown

The Conservative government tried through various white papers to force schools to join trusts, but the plans always failed.

The 2022 white paper included a target for all schools to be in 鈥渟trong鈥 multi-academy trusts by 2030. There was also an expectation most trusts would have at least 10 schools, or 7,500 pupils. However the plan was later ditched.

It is not known how Labour would define a school “group”. Multi-academy trusts would fit the bill, but also less formal partnerships like council federations could come into consideration.

The government has to do everything possible to keep things running

However it is understood any potential new plan would not force schools into new ownership. 拢1m bailouts

In all, 22 trusts either received bailouts or had received “indications” they would be given additional financial support.

Among them was Sherborne, which 鈥渁nticipated future funding/cashflow support from the DfE of up to 拢1.3 million鈥. Arthur Terry was also offered a 拢1.5 million government loan to stay afloat.

Morales said some trusts were 鈥済etting too big to fail [as] they have so many children in their care鈥.

When academies in big struggling MATs cannot be rebrokered, 鈥渢he government has to do everything possible to keep things running. In the end, it’s their duty to ensure thousands of children in any community are educated.鈥

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