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Ofsted admits ‘relationship’ between disadvantage and ‘achievement’ judgment

More deprived schools almost three times as likely to be graded 'needs attention' or 'urgent improvement'

Lydia Chantler-Hicks

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Ofsted has admitted a link between higher levels of pupil deprivation and lower ‘achievement’ judgments, but said it plans to strengthen how a school’s context is taken into account.

The watchdog has shared analysis from the first 921 school reports published since its was launched in November.

The full data, which goes up to 30 April, is due to be published today and Schools Week will independently analyse it.

But by Ofsted shows schools with above-average free school meals rates are almost three times as likely as those with below-average levels to be graded ‘needs attention’ or ‘urgent improvement’ for achievement.

The watchdog acknowledged 鈥渁 relationship between the level of disadvantage in a school and the school鈥檚 grade for the ‘achievement’ evaluation area鈥.

It plans to introduce a new measure next academic year aimed at strengthening how a school’s context, including pupil disadvantage, is factored into inspections.

Grades for selected evaluation areas for primary and secondary schools by % of pupils eligible for FSM, 2025/26 to date 鈥撀燨fsted
Grades for selected evaluation areas for primary and secondary schools by of pupils eligible for FSM 202526 to date Source Ofsted

Of the 294 schools with an above-average proportion of pupils eligible for free school meals 鈥 a proxy measure for disadvantage 鈥 43 per cent fell below the ‘expected standard’ for achievement.

This is compared to 33 per cent of schools with a “close to average” levels of free school meals eligibility, and just 16 per cent of those with below-average eligibility.

To hit the 鈥榚xpected standard鈥 grade, pupils鈥 attainment and progress in national tests and exams must be 鈥渂roadly in line with national averages鈥, according to the inspection toolkit used by inspectors.

Deprived schools still doing well, says Ofsted

The fresh data comes after analysis by school leaders鈥 union NAHT last month suggested聽schools with above-average levels of disadvantage were more likely to be graded down on achievement.

Ofsted said today that achievement grades have, to date, “been lower for the schools in the above-average band [of free school meals eligibility] compared to those schools in the below-average band”.

The watchdog said it is “logical” that grades for curriculum and teaching 鈥渇ollow a similar pattern鈥, as “if the quality of curriculum and teaching is lower, this typically affects how well pupils achieve”.

But it said 57 per cent of schools with above-average proportion of FSM eligibility had been graded 鈥榚xpected standard鈥 or higher for achievement.

Defence of national averages

The use of national averages to grade both achievement and attendance in the new Ofsted framework has been repeatedly criticised by leaders.

Critics argue it is聽unfair on more inclusive schools and penalises those聽serving disadvantaged communities.

But Ofsted said the data so far shows schools where disadvantaged pupils 鈥渁re performing broadly in line with the national average for all disadvantaged pupils tend to be graded 鈥榚xpected standard鈥欌.

Those where disadvantaged pupils are performing below the national average for similar pupils are more likely to be graded 鈥榥eeds attention鈥 or 鈥榰rgent improvement鈥, while those closing the gap for disadvantaged pupils are more likely to hit the top two grades.

New 鈥榮imilar schools鈥 model from September

The inspectorate to “strengthen” how a school鈥檚 context is taken into account during inspection.

Giving new details of the plan, Ofsted said its 鈥榮imilar schools鈥 model had been developed with the DfE.

It will allow the watchdog to examine a school’s performance “both compared to national benchmarks and to other schools in similar contexts鈥.

This new comparison will be introduced to the inspection data summary report (IDSR) used by inspectors in the new academic year.

Schools will also be able to monitor their own performance through the DfE鈥檚 new digital “school profiles” service, which was pledged in the white paper and is also due to launch next academic year.

A DfE spokesperson said the model has been developed “as part of our work to create a self-improving school system, built on collaboration and shared learning between schools in similar circumstances”.

They confirmed the data will be available to inspectors from the autumn term.

鈥淒rawing on our successful approach to issues like attendance, the data will add to schools’ and inspectors’ understanding of how schools in similar circumstances tackle shared challenges and create opportunities for their pupils.”

Toolkit update

The inspection toolkit will also be updated. It currently says: “On the whole, pupils achieve well. Typically, this will be reflected in their attainment and progress in national tests and examinations, which are broadly in line with national averages, including for disadvantaged pupils.”

Ofsted says it will update this to make it clearer that achievement of disadvantaged pupils within a school’s cohort should be compared to national averages of achievement for disadvantaged pupils.

‘Range’ of schools at expected standard

Meanwhile, Ofsted stressed schools 鈥渟erving a range of backgrounds鈥 have been graded ‘expected standard’ or above for achievement, 鈥渁nd that inspectors are considering more than data alone鈥 when making judgements.

鈥淚nspectors are allowing for context, without normalising lower levels of achievement for children from more disadvantaged backgrounds.”

The watchdog said achievement “is measured in more than statutory outcomes and qualifications鈥, and inspectors also consider pupils鈥 鈥渒nowledge and skills and their readiness for their next steps鈥.

But Ofsted said its data showed those with an above-average proportion of pupils eligible for free school meals “tend to have lower performance data for pupils than the school with the lowest鈥.

Attainment 8 scores, by level of disadvantage, in all secondary schools graded 鈥榚xpected standard鈥 or higher for 鈥榓chievement鈥 in 2025/26 to date - Ofsted
Attainment 8 scores by level of disadvantage in secondary schools graded expected standard or higher for achievement Source Ofsted

 

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6 Comments

  1. Victoria Jaquiss

    Basically Ofsted is not fit for purpose and still trying to measure the unmeasurable. It tends to be the best teachers who work and stay in schools in areas of deprivation, where they have worked out what is best for their charges. And actually what is best in the circumstances they find themselves in.
    I worked in such a school, and before Ofsted was invented. The abused and hungry children tended not to behave well. WE DID NOT STICK THEM IN ISOLATION BOOTHS. We waited till they were ready to talk to us and for this they needed to know they could trust us. It was a delicate and unseen balancing act. Something we couldn鈥檛 advertise.
    Ofsted and League tables got invented They closed the school . . . . . The stupidest and saddest thing to do.

  2. Stephen Gorard

    Not surprised. I published similar results from about 2106 onwards – e.g. . And Ofsted was made aware of this. Why has it taken nearly ten years to accept it and promise to act?

  3. Dan

    Ofsted, I really don’t have much good to stay about them. In the past, my secondary school used to try their hardest to maintain a good reputation, as would any other school hope to strive for. How did they do it? By sweeping disabled children under a rug.

    I was a bright and cheerful student, before I entered that school. All of a sudden, whenever bullying happened the teachers didn’t do anything because I was too nervous to speak up. They knew this, but it was on me to report the bullying myself. The reason why they’d make it so difficult, was because they wanted to look good for Ofsted.

    When my attendance began to drop due to continuous bullying and emotional pain, which involved neglect from teachers they used to become passive aggressive towards me. They’d come over to my home, walk me to school and have a go at me on the streets. My bullying wasn’t addressed, because all that mattered was my attendance levels. For Ofsted.

    They are like the Queens of the school world and if it means brushing vulnerable children aside, their humble followers (the schools) will do it.

  4. CC

    I have just read the full report on this from Ofsted. Utter claptrap! My school was inspected in March. We serve one of the most disadvantaged wards in one of the country’s most disadvantaged towns, 53% Pupil Premium, 98% EAL and New to English, 25% SEND, all way beyond national averages. Our Maths, Writing and SPAG are all at national average, but our Reading is 9% below. Our lead inspector told us, rather primly, that she ‘couldn’t possibly’ give us the expected standard in achievement due to the reading. She had to go by the IDSR and our context and inclusivity could not be made an excuse for this. One subject ALONE dictated our needs attention grade for achievement and ‘broadly’ and ‘typically’ were two words never mentioned.

  5. Michael Baybutt

    And who would have thought that this was a sensible correlation? How much do the people at Ofsted get paid if it has taken so long to work this out?

  6. FD

    Anyone working in education knows this, the league tables and ofsted judgements have led to schools being academised to avoid SLT losing jobs. How have the academies fared since the magic bullet of academies? Situation normal.

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